People always pick their facts to support their argument!
Rep. #Himes vs #Truman: Approval #Ratings are a #TimeSeries #Approval #Disapproval
Rep. #Himes vs #Truman: Approval #Ratings are a #TimeSeries #Approval #Disapproval Truman Won!
The American Presidency Project - All Data
From 538 - about polling
Predicting what public opinion will be four months from now is also difficult. On one hand, that's because small events — like debates — can cause large changes in the polls. But it's also difficult because the polls themselves are noisy. There are many sources of uncertainty that all have to be combined properly, and forecasters make many informed but imperfect choices in figuring out how to do that. (This is true whether you have a mental model or a statistical model, like we do at 538.)
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