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Finger People - Universal Language - Honduras

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

How the " #FakeNews " can deal with a " #PredictablyIrrational" President #Trump - #UnFairness


I doubt calling President Trump a liar is as effective as calling him an "untruth teller" or perhaps a "fake-truth teller".  I am probably wrong but maybe not.

I may not be doing it correctly but it is my feeble attempt to operationalize discoveries of two Nobel winners about us humans as "choice/decision makers", Thaler and Kahneman, and another man, George Lakoff.

Did you ever wonder how someone makes up their mind? Others and George Lakoff

Did you ever wonder how someone makes up their mind?  How they then become so resolute in what they "believe" to be the real truth or fact?

Over the past several years, especially since Scott Walker was elected governor of our state, I have been among the wandering wonderers.  Pragmatically people had beliefs, that although I felt were wrong, they held those beliefs nonetheless.  How does one go about affecting beliefs or changing a person's mind let alone a group?  So I kept the question in my mind and passively went about creating a record, in a blog, collecting facts over time to see if I could find "facts" that changed my mind or to say more accurately, refined my thoughts.

Along the way I collected so many stories from different people and disciplines that were independently interesting.  As I collected those stories it seemed they were only related to some small part of my question.

Many things were mulled over and then I encountered the following which I posted in January, 2012. My interest stemmed from curiosity about "Behavioral Economics".  The use of the word "moral" in the title also intrigued me since the politics of many to the right seem to believe they have "a better moral compass" than others. (see the link for the full context)

Give credit to Kahneman, Thaler, Lakoff and I would add Dan Ariely and E.O. Wilson.

It seems we humans have a strong sense of "fairness" and we will penalize those that are "unfair".  We won't buy a needed umbrella in a rain storm if the merchant has jacked up the price.

So the premise of calling out the behavior is more important than calling out the act. President Trump is being "unfair".  He has so many advantages: command the world's attention, nuclear arsenal, executive orders, power of appointment, twitter,  an army of "untruth tellers".  President Trump is doing this himself - he is identifying "the media" as "unfair".

He is not being fair and portraying himself as the victim (rather viciously).  The media needs to emphasize this politely and perhaps turn the "fake-news" label into the label of being the "underdog" versus President Trump.

As an example of the narrative, "I know my voice won't be heard over the commander-in-chief''s voice but this is so unfair and untruthful."

It's worth a try ... isn't it?  I gather from what I have read that the phrase "predictably irrational" is an apt description of President Trump and every other human being.   He is taking severe advantage of our human foible to demonstrate how unfairly he is being treated and shouting it from the rooftops.  None of us can replicate his "power" but President Trump is using it radically to disparage people who are a lot smaller than him who have none of his power.

Thaler studies describes this as predictably irrational (the phrase may actually originate with Dan Ariely) ... almost seems like an oxymoron.
... Lakoff gave a talk recently at the Center for Right-Wing Studies and pointed out that students who become Democratic operatives tend to study political studies and statistics and demographics in college. “Students who lean Republican study marketing. “And that’s his point,” Rosenthal said. “It’s a very different way of thinking.”
We need to remember where President Trump consciously learned the skill he amplifies and exemplifies.  


How the " #FakeNews " can deal with a " #PredictablyIrrational" President #Trump - #UnFairness


How the " #FakeNews " is really the " #Underdog ". #PredictablyIrrational" President #Trump - is #UnFair


A new Energy Koch Drink - Is this what the Koch Bros and others bought - #Frontline #PBS

War On EPA ...




#Trump mkts A new #Energy #EPA Drink >Is this what the #Koch Bros and others bought-WI 1848 Forward: #Frontline #PBS

Saturday, September 9, 2017

#Equifax and #SecurtyFreeze - Corporate Accountability

The LAWS need to be changed ...


  • No fees should apply at all for freezing or lifting security freeze.  The fees are discriminatory and regressive. 
  • Outside auditors should certify corporate security measures and that auditor should be named by an independent panel unrelated to the company or its board.
  • All personal identifying information should by encrypted.
  • Damages and penalties need to be identified and specified in relation to depth of breach.
  • Penalties for delayed nondisclosure should be felonies.
It is a travesty that they collect information poorly/incorrectly and then don't report illicit access to it.


In Wisconsin ...

SECURITY FREEZE INFORMATION  ... Consumers Union

Any consumer in Wisconsin may place a security freeze on his or her credit report by requesting it in writing. The consumer reporting agency is not allowed to charge a fee to victims for placing, removing for a specific period or specific party, or removing a security freeze on a credit report. To prove victim status, you must include a copy of a report to a law enforcement agency regarding identity theft. For all other consumers, a charge of $10 will be applied for each placing, removing, or for each temporary lifting of a security freeze. A security freeze prohibits, with certain specific exceptions, the consumer reporting agency from releasing the consumer’s credit report or any information from it without the express authorization of the consumer. The freeze goes into effect five (5) business days from receipt of the consumer’s letter by the consumer reporting agency. 

How to Lock Down Your Money After the Equifax Breach -Consumer Reports

WI 1848 Forward: #Equifax and #SecurtyFreeze - Corporate Accountability Not likely with #Walker or #GOP and #WMC http://wi1848forward.blogspot.com/2017/09/equifax-and-securtyfreeze-corporate.html?spref=tw

Thursday, August 24, 2017

#Sharks #EndangeredSpecies #Quartz #qz.com - "Ghost poachers” are still at large after the biggest shark-smuggling #Galapagos history


"Ghost poachers” are still at large after the biggest shark-smuggling bust in Galapagos history


On Aug. 13, Ecuadorian authorities intercepted a Chinese ship crossing the Galapagos Marine Reserve, one of the most heavily protected nature reserves in the world. In its freezers they discovered 300 tons (270 metric tons) of fish, of which more than half were sharks—mostly illegal hammerheads and threatened silky sharks.
Yet the Fu Yuan Yu Leng 999 was not a fishing boat. Its crew, who now face jail time in Ecuador for environmental crimes, were likely not the fishermen. To fish commercial quantities of shark, you need tens of thousands of meters of thick fishing line, big, motorized winches, and piles of hooks, each the size of an adult finger. That sort of gear was not on board.
Rather, the Chinese ship was a carrier vessel, whose job was to collect and deliver to port the illegal catch of other fishing boats. Its capture, likely one of the biggest seizures of illegal sharks in recent years, opens a rare window into the murky world of maritime poaching. And it has triggered an international hunt to piece together the puzzle: Where was it heading? Who was making money off of the smuggling? And, most of all, who were the fishermen and where did they catch the sharks? ... 

We all need to be concerned about preserving the Earth as we know it.  Some think that is irrelevant ... markets will solve the problems.  The question is for whom?  The middle-class American?  How is that working out for you?  The venture capitalists were interested in themselves not you.

A total disruption of the oceanic eco-system will lead us to where?

Fishermen Caught With 6,600 Sharks In Gal├ípagos, Now Headed To Prison Colin Dwyer


WI 1848 Forward: #Sharks #EndangeredSpecies #Quartz #qz.com - "Ghost poachers” shark-smuggling #Galapagos

WI 1848 Forward: #Sharks #EndangeredSpecies #Quartz #qz.com - "Ghost poachers” shark-smuggling #Galapagos #FoxConn

WI 1848 Forward: #Sharks #EndangeredSpecies #Quartz #qz.com - "Ghost poachers” shark-smuggling #SOSGalapagos

Tuesday, August 8, 2017

FOXCONN $300M a year giveaway vs $137M Walker deficit in 2011


10/18/17 Now what's the swindle?

WEDC delays vote on Foxconn contract after discovering problem

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

8/8/17

It would take 25 years for state taxpayers to see a return ... LFB 




Hold him accountable ...

"I did some research looking at their (Foxconn) California plant. Their assemblers are making $9.20 an hour," Representative Chris Sinicki notes at the public hearing on the Foxconn incentives bill. "Is it possible, Mr. Secretary, then, if they already said that they'd be starting at $20 an hour, can we get that in writing in a bill?" 


State would recoup Foxconn investment in 25 years, estimate shows ... Molly Beck

It would take 25 years for state taxpayers to see a return on the billions Gov. Scott Walker wants to invest in a project that would bring Taiwanese electronics giant Foxconn to Wisconsin, new state estimates show. 
Walker has proposed to give Foxconn nearly $3 billion in refundable tax credits as part of an incentive package state lawmakers are considering to convince the company to build its first U.S. plant in the southeastern part of the state -- a campus that is projected to employ 13,000 and create a supply chain that could employ more than 30,000 statewide.
A new analysis released Tuesday by the nonpartisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau shows taxpayers would pay about $1 billion more than the state received in revenues during the first 15 years of the project, and that the state will start to recoup those payments starting in 2043 -- or a quarter of a century after the project starts. 
That estimated break-even date assumes the workforce produced by Foxconn is 13,000 employees entirely composed of Wisconsin residents. The more out-of-state workers that commute to the plant, the farther away the break-even date will be, according to the analysis.

Foxconn deal goes from bad to bizarre Even the right-wing group Americans For Prosperity thinks proposed deal is stupid - DAVE CIESLEWICZ AUGUST 8, 2017

Let’s review. Even under Foxconn’s own analysis, depending on how many of the estimated 3,000 to 13,000 are actually created, Wisconsin taxpayers would subsidize each job to the tune of $230,000 to almost $1 million. And these jobs would pay about 31 percent of what it would take a family of four to live a normal middle-class lifestyle. (A family of four needs to earn $131,000 to maintain the equivalent of a 1970’s middle-class lifestyle.) It turns out that hourly workers would only make about $41,600 a year, not the $53,000 in initial reports. Apparently, that higher average amount includes all salaries, even high-paid managers. To add injury to insult, the deal would allow the company to move streams, fill wetlands and pollute water without so much as telling us what they might destroy through an environmental impact statement.

Agency estimates: Foxconn tax credits would max out at $312.4 million per year from 2023 to 2026

Those projections are based on the assumption that the company will create 13,000 jobs with an average salary of $53,875 by 2021. 
According to an analysis by the state Department of Transportation, the state would pay $408.3 million in interest from 2019 to 2042 to repay the $252.4 million in borrowing included in the bill for construction on Interstate 94 north-south. That borrowing is contingent on receiving a federal match. 

Walker's idea of bringing economic development to Wisconsin .... $76M from out of state for the elections ?!

In February 2011, WRN reported ...

Wisconsin’s current deficit at $137M

Itemizing the shortfall in the current budget.
The deficit for the state of Wisconsin is $136.7 million for the current biennial budget, according to new figures from the State Budget Office. River Hills Republican Senator Alberta Darling co-chairs the Legislature’s budget committee. “We are looking at a real challenge and the governor has been very clear … we are not going to raise taxes, so this leaves making some really tough decisions based on some really difficult priorities.”

Governor Scott Walker released a breakdown of the numbers, which includes $58.7 million that’s owed to Minnesota for the terminated tax reciprocity agreement, a $153.2 million deficit in Medical Assistance Programs, and $21.7 million deficit in the Department of Corrections.

Today, WSJ, July 26th, 2012

More than $137 million spent in recalls, nearly $81M in Walker race


Candidates, special interest groups and political committees spent more than $137 million on the historic wave of 15 recalls over the last two years, the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign said Wednesday.
Of that amount, nearly $81 million targeted the failed attempt to recall Republican Gov. Scott Walker. It more than doubled the record-setting $37.4 million spent for a statewide office in the 2010 governor's race. And Walker more than tripled his previous spending record, doling out about $36 million leading up to his June 5 recall victory. ...
For all 15 of the recalls in 2011 and 2012, Republican candidates, groups and committees outspent their Democratic opponents $84.5 million to $52.6 million, according to WDC.
And outside special interest groups spent nearly $76 million in the 15 recalls, including $39.8 million by groups that supported the GOP and $36 million by those that backed Democrats.

WI 1848 Forward: #WI Budget $137M Unforeseen Irony: #Deficits vs #Elections 2011-2012 : #wiVote #WiUnion #47%

WI 1848 Forward: #FOXCONN $300M a year giveaway vs $137M #Walker #deficit in 2011

$9.20/hr  ... WI 1848 Forward: #FOXCONN $300M a year giveaway vs $137M #Walker #deficit in 2011


Saturday, July 29, 2017

FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? What does LFB say - Legislative Fiscal Bureau

9/17/2017 ... Lets be sure to keep Walker and GOP accountable:  0 jobs and counting plus taxes given to corporations and other impositions on environment


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

LFB says 25 years but a simple analysis says:


  • What's the annual payroll going to be?  My guess $90M for 3000 jobs ... these are only going to be well paying for a few ... even $30000 a year is probably as an average pay ... kind of high.  After all this is to be a manufacturing facility ... mostly robots?
  • An economic multiplier of 3 would boost indirect economic benefit to $270M.
Waving all kinds of safeguards shifts external costs to those proverbial "grandchildren". What will cleanup or even current hazards cost.

The fact that this has to be "fast-tracked" in the legislature means the deal is really not done.  So let's change it and really analyze costs short and long and see how the "grandchildren" are really going to do!  Is the LFB going to really be able to do their job.

BTW - How does Walker and this help the imbalance faced by rural counties?  Last time I checked Kenosha-Racine counties were semi-urban



8/1/2017

No surprise- LFB indicates Fox-con could surpass $3 Billion
Gee, with all of the environmental damage and the massive write-offs and costs that your property taxes will make up the difference for, wouldn’t it be swell to live in the communities around this development over the next few years? UGH!

Can you believe the Ernst & Young study? 

I'm a little skeptical ... this might better be called a"Public Relations" promo piece.  You would think FOXCONN would know their "own facts" ... why does Ernst & Young have to tell them to all of us, including FOXCONN.  It still does not include what is being promised to them and what "skin" they have in the game!

By the numbers: Economic impact study of Wisconsin's Foxconn deal


"The Politics of Resentment" = Scott Walker's political rise == rural resentment against the "liberal elite"


In a real hurry! 8/1/2017



Foxconn's Complex Path From And Back To Lake Michigan Water Needs Of LCD Factory Require Extensive Infrastructure In Racine County - Scott Gordon - WisContext Oct. 11, 2017

Foxconn's proposed LCD manufacturing complex in Wisconsin will need a great deal of water to operate — millions of gallons per day — and the Taiwan-based company has positioned itself to get it from Lake Michigan. It's likely that Foxconn planners thought ahead about the complex legal structure governing municipal use of Great Lakes water. Once the company can legally access this water, it has to actually get it to and from the complex. That infrastructure will be a major engineering and construction project in its own right. ...
Put this on your timeline ... 2020 or 2022 before even begins to operate significantly
Waukesha anticipates beginning construction in 2019 and completing it by about 2022. The project even has its own public-relations campaign dubbed the Great Water Alliance. 
Foxconn hasn't said exactly how much water it will need for a factory in Mount Pleasant. But one electronics manufacturing analyst estimated that it could be as much as 15 million gallons per day — almost double what Waukesha proposes to use at its thirstiest. If Foxconn's needs are anywhere close to that figure, it will take capacious pipes and a fair amount of energy to pump all that water.


#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? What does #LFB say - Legislative Fiscal Bureau

#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? Do they have any skin in the game?

#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? What does #LFB say : Timeline update video

#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? No real infrastructure until 2022

Sunday, July 16, 2017