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250,000: When an employment promise is NOT a promise!

I originally submitted this to the Wisconsin State Journal's Opinion Page 12/22/2010 - it was edited (see link) and published about a week later.  Last night Governor Walker again repeated his promise to create 250,000 jobs during his Budget Introduction to the Legislature!  How can I say it briefly ... it will happen but not because of his policies.  How many jobs is he going to destroy first?


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Scott Walker promised to create 250000 jobs for Wisconsinites as Governor during the next four years, 2011-2014, (e.g., see Scott Bauer, AP). He must have been peeking at Wisconsin DOR reports before they were even written - see http://www.revenue.wi.gov/ra/econ/index.html ) Wisconsin Economic Outlook, December, 21st 2010.

From that source news release …

Wisconsin added almost 30,000 jobs through September 2010, nearly 10,000 more than expected for the year. The Wisconsin economy is expected to add 26,000 jobs in 2011, and [an]other 59,000 jobs in 2012. Job growth will return to pre-recession levels in 2013 with Wisconsin adding 54,000 jobs that year.

If the DOR is right then Scott Walker will not have to do a thing to see 193000 jobs added during his term. This seems to imply he really only needs to add 53000 more jobs or about 14000 each year beyond what may happen naturally.

But not all jobs are equal and not all promises are what they appear to be!


Update: 3/4/2011 DOR Pub. Wisconsin Economic Outlook - Winter 

"During the past year, Wisconsin recovered 32,600 jobs from December 2009 through December 2010. ... The unemployment rate in Wisconsin stayed below the national rate through the recent recession and will continue doing so.  The unemployment rate should fall to 7.3% in 2011 and 6.7% in 2012."  Given what Governor Walker is doing to Education in his proposed budget ... this may be rather optimistic.

WI 1848 Forward: 250,000: When an employment promise is NOT a promise! #walker #Jobs #wiUnion #wiVote #47% #99%