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250,000: When an employment promise is NOT a promise!

January 2018 - I thought it was in the bag!  NOT so!

Gov. Scott Walker's promise to create 250,000 jobs in Wisconsin remains elusive
The total number of jobs created since Walker took office is 185,208, or 64,792 short of Walker's goal of 250,000.
For our tally, we used the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages — which surveys nearly all state businesses — to get annual figures for years 2011 through 2015. We combined that with monthly survey data — from reports gathered from a small percentage of state businesses — for 2016. (The more accurate final census data won't be available for 2016 until later in the spring.)
During Walker's first term, PolitiFact Wisconsin tracked the job count because it was the governor's No. 1 campaign promise. PolitiFact  rated it  a Promise Broken in September 2014 after experts determined that it was impossible for the 250,000 goal to be reached during Walker's first four years.

I originally submitted this to the Wisconsin State Journal's Opinion Page 12/22/2010 - it was edited (see link) and published about a week later.  Last night Governor Walker again repeated his promise to create 250,000 jobs during his Budget Introduction to the Legislature!  How can I say it briefly ... it will happen but not because of his policies.  How many jobs is he going to destroy first?


Scott Walker promised to create 250000 jobs for Wisconsinites as Governor during the next four years, 2011-2014, (e.g., see Scott Bauer, AP). He must have been peeking at Wisconsin DOR reports before they were even written - see ) Wisconsin Economic Outlook, December, 21st 2010.

From that source news release …

Wisconsin added almost 30,000 jobs through September 2010, nearly 10,000 more than expected for the year. The Wisconsin economy is expected to add 26,000 jobs in 2011, and [an]other 59,000 jobs in 2012. Job growth will return to pre-recession levels in 2013 with Wisconsin adding 54,000 jobs that year.

If the DOR is right then Scott Walker will not have to do a thing to see 193000 jobs added during his term. This seems to imply he really only needs to add 53000 more jobs or about 14000 each year beyond what may happen naturally.

But not all jobs are equal and not all promises are what they appear to be!

Update: 3/4/2011 DOR Pub. Wisconsin Economic Outlook - Winter 

"During the past year, Wisconsin recovered 32,600 jobs from December 2009 through December 2010. ... The unemployment rate in Wisconsin stayed below the national rate through the recent recession and will continue doing so.  The unemployment rate should fall to 7.3% in 2011 and 6.7% in 2012."  Given what Governor Walker is doing to Education in his proposed budget ... this may be rather optimistic.

WI 1848 Forward: 250,000: When an employment promise is NOT a promise! #walker #Jobs #wiUnion #wiVote #47% #99%