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Tuesday, August 8, 2017

FOXCONN $300M a year giveaway vs $137M Walker deficit in 2011



"I did some research looking at their (Foxconn) California plant. Their assemblers are making $9.20 an hour," Representative Chris Sinicki notes at the public hearing on the Foxconn incentives bill. "Is it possible, Mr. Secretary, then, if they already said that they'd be starting at $20 an hour, can we get that in writing in a bill?" 


State would recoup Foxconn investment in 25 years, estimate shows ... Molly Beck

It would take 25 years for state taxpayers to see a return on the billions Gov. Scott Walker wants to invest in a project that would bring Taiwanese electronics giant Foxconn to Wisconsin, new state estimates show. 
Walker has proposed to give Foxconn nearly $3 billion in refundable tax credits as part of an incentive package state lawmakers are considering to convince the company to build its first U.S. plant in the southeastern part of the state -- a campus that is projected to employ 13,000 and create a supply chain that could employ more than 30,000 statewide.
A new analysis released Tuesday by the nonpartisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau shows taxpayers would pay about $1 billion more than the state received in revenues during the first 15 years of the project, and that the state will start to recoup those payments starting in 2043 -- or a quarter of a century after the project starts. 
That estimated break-even date assumes the workforce produced by Foxconn is 13,000 employees entirely composed of Wisconsin residents. The more out-of-state workers that commute to the plant, the farther away the break-even date will be, according to the analysis.

Foxconn deal goes from bad to bizarre Even the right-wing group Americans For Prosperity thinks proposed deal is stupid - DAVE CIESLEWICZ AUGUST 8, 2017

Let’s review. Even under Foxconn’s own analysis, depending on how many of the estimated 3,000 to 13,000 are actually created, Wisconsin taxpayers would subsidize each job to the tune of $230,000 to almost $1 million. And these jobs would pay about 31 percent of what it would take a family of four to live a normal middle-class lifestyle. (A family of four needs to earn $131,000 to maintain the equivalent of a 1970’s middle-class lifestyle.) It turns out that hourly workers would only make about $41,600 a year, not the $53,000 in initial reports. Apparently, that higher average amount includes all salaries, even high-paid managers. To add injury to insult, the deal would allow the company to move streams, fill wetlands and pollute water without so much as telling us what they might destroy through an environmental impact statement.

Agency estimates: Foxconn tax credits would max out at $312.4 million per year from 2023 to 2026

Those projections are based on the assumption that the company will create 13,000 jobs with an average salary of $53,875 by 2021. 
According to an analysis by the state Department of Transportation, the state would pay $408.3 million in interest from 2019 to 2042 to repay the $252.4 million in borrowing included in the bill for construction on Interstate 94 north-south. That borrowing is contingent on receiving a federal match. 

Walker's idea of bringing economic development to Wisconsin .... $76M from out of state for the elections ?!

In February 2011, WRN reported ...

Wisconsin’s current deficit at $137M

Itemizing the shortfall in the current budget.
The deficit for the state of Wisconsin is $136.7 million for the current biennial budget, according to new figures from the State Budget Office. River Hills Republican Senator Alberta Darling co-chairs the Legislature’s budget committee. “We are looking at a real challenge and the governor has been very clear … we are not going to raise taxes, so this leaves making some really tough decisions based on some really difficult priorities.”

Governor Scott Walker released a breakdown of the numbers, which includes $58.7 million that’s owed to Minnesota for the terminated tax reciprocity agreement, a $153.2 million deficit in Medical Assistance Programs, and $21.7 million deficit in the Department of Corrections.

Today, WSJ, July 26th, 2012

More than $137 million spent in recalls, nearly $81M in Walker race


Candidates, special interest groups and political committees spent more than $137 million on the historic wave of 15 recalls over the last two years, the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign said Wednesday.
Of that amount, nearly $81 million targeted the failed attempt to recall Republican Gov. Scott Walker. It more than doubled the record-setting $37.4 million spent for a statewide office in the 2010 governor's race. And Walker more than tripled his previous spending record, doling out about $36 million leading up to his June 5 recall victory. ...
For all 15 of the recalls in 2011 and 2012, Republican candidates, groups and committees outspent their Democratic opponents $84.5 million to $52.6 million, according to WDC.
And outside special interest groups spent nearly $76 million in the 15 recalls, including $39.8 million by groups that supported the GOP and $36 million by those that backed Democrats.

WI 1848 Forward: #WI Budget $137M Unforeseen Irony: #Deficits vs #Elections 2011-2012 : #wiVote #WiUnion #47%

WI 1848 Forward: #FOXCONN $300M a year giveaway vs $137M #Walker #deficit in 2011

$9.20/hr  ... WI 1848 Forward: #FOXCONN $300M a year giveaway vs $137M #Walker #deficit in 2011


Saturday, July 29, 2017

FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? What does LFB say - Legislative Fiscal Bureau


I don't know what the LFB says but a simple analysis says:


  • What's the annual payroll going to be?  My guess $90M for 3000 jobs ... these are only going to be well paying for a few ... even $30000 a year is probably as an average pay ... kind of high.  After all this is to be a manufacturing facility ... mostly robots?
  • An economic multiplier of 3 would boost indirect economic benefit to $270M.
Waving all kinds of safeguards shifts external costs to those proverbial "grandchildren". What will cleanup or even current hazards cost.

The fact that this has to be "fast-tracked" in the legislature means the deal is really not done.  So let's change it and really analyze costs short and long and see how the "grandchildren" are really going to do!  Is the LFB going to really be able to do their job.

BTW - How does Walker and this help the imbalance faced by rural counties?  Last time I checked Kenosha-Racine counties were semi-urban



8/1/2017

No surprise- LFB indicates Fox-con could surpass $3 Billion
Gee, with all of the environmental damage and the massive write-offs and costs that your property taxes will make up the difference for, wouldn’t it be swell to live in the communities around this development over the next few years? UGH!

Can you believe the Ernst & Young study? 

I'm a little skeptical ... this might better be called a"Public Relations" promo piece.  You would think FOXCONN would know their "own facts" ... why does Ernst & Young have to tell them to all of us, including FOXCONN.  It still does not include what is being promised to them and what "skin" they have in the game!

By the numbers: Economic impact study of Wisconsin's Foxconn deal


"The Politics of Resentment" = Scott Walker's political rise == rural resentment against the "liberal elite"


In a real hurry! 8/1/2017




#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? What does #LFB say - Legislative Fiscal Bureau

#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? Do they have any skin in the game?

#Walker #Vos WI 1848 Forward: #FOXConn - Is It A Financial Con ? What does #LFB say : Timeline update video

Sunday, July 16, 2017

Sunday, July 2, 2017

Pence / Kobach Voting Commission to Build List of "Enemies" :) Trump ... it will be HUGE

Anytime huge lists are created you need to wonder and worry about ... "What for!"  I once found out that my name appeared at least 23 times in United Airlines "Frequent Flyer" list, and we were all different individuals by United's criteria.  It is easy to use them as unsubstantiated evidence for blocking you or inconveniencing you because you are on the list ... and have been marked as suspicious. Homeland Security did (probably still does) this kind of thing with no-fly lists.

There is frequently no review and no accountability of someone who may have the authority to "mark" you as "detain and interview".

When you cross this with data from the U.S. Census and/or the IRS ... data which is suppose to be confidential ... it is ripe fro abuse.  Potential intimidation by radical GOP directed bureaucrats should make libertarians, conservatives and those most interested in preserving individual and collective freedoms cringe.


WAPO: Trump’s voting commission asked states to hand over election data. Some are pushing back.

...  “This entire commission is based on the specious and false notion that there was widespread voter fraud last November,” Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) said in a statement. “At best this commission was set up as a pretext to validate Donald Trump’s alternative election facts, and at worst is a tool to commit large-scale voter suppression.”
 California, a state Trump singled out for “serious voter fraud,” also refused to participate. Alex Padilla, the California secretary of state, said providing data “would only serve to legitimize the false and already debunked claims of massive voter fraud.” ...
Vice President Pence, who is chairman of the commission, hosted a conference call with the group’s members Wednesday morning, three weeks before they are scheduled to have their first meeting in Washington. During the call, Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach (R), the vice chairman, told the other members about the letters. 
A spokesman for Pence defended the letters, noting they seek information that is available publicly under state laws. ...
... “It looks like they’re putting together a database of who people voted for,” said Jason Kander, a former Missouri secretary of state who runs the nonprofit group Let America Vote. “Democrat, Republican, independent, everybody should be outraged by that. This is from the same people, from Kris Kobach to Donald Trump, who’ve tried to make it harder for people to vote, and this seems like a step in the process. If the Obama administration had asked for this, Kris Kobach would be holding a press conference outside the Capitol to denounce it.”...
... Other states have said that they do plan to hand over information, albeit less than the broad sweep outlined in the letters. Wisconsin’s elections commission administrator said that the state would give the public information for the standard $12,500 fee, but was not allowed to release other details such as dates of birth. Ohio Secretary of State Jon A. Husted, a Republican, said his state would be handing over most of the requested information — noting that it is publicly available — though he said they would not provide portions of Social Security numbers and driver’s license numbers because those are not. 
Husted said in an interview Friday that his office had conducted reviews after previous elections, saying that these investigations have determined that “voter fraud exists, it’s rare and we hold people accountable when we catch them.” 
Earlier this year, Husted announced that his office found 82 noncitizens of the United States who illegally voted in a recent Ohio election. According to his office, more than 5.6 million people cast ballots in last November’s general election. 

WI 1848 Forward: #Pence / #Kobach #Voting Commission to Build List of "Enemies" :) #Trump ... it will be HUGE!

WI 1848 Forward: #Pence / #Kobach #Voting Commission on #VoteSuppression #VoterID #Trump ... it will be HUGE!


Friday, June 16, 2017

Bad Choice > Michael Screnock Sauk County judge, Act 10 defender to seek Supreme Court seat

Just another Gableman ...

Wisconsin  State Journal -

Sauk County judge, Act 10 defender to seek Supreme Court seat

Sauk County Circuit Court judge Michael Screnock, who once worked on a team of lawyers to defend Gov. Scott Walker's collective bargaining law against lawsuits, is joining the 2018 race for a seat on the state Supreme Court.
Screnock, who was appointed to his judgeship in 2015 by Walker, announced his bid for the state's highest court Friday — a day after Justice Michael Gableman, whose first term on the court expires in 2018, said he would not be seeking re-election.

Walker Appoints Collective Bargaining, Redistricting Lawyers to Judgeships  Wisconsin Democracy Campaign

June 2, 2015
Republican Gov. Scott Walker has appointed two attorneys to circuit court judgeships who helped the Walker administration and legislative Republicans consolidate power. They defended laws that slashed public employee collective bargaining rights, redrew legislative districts that enabled Republicans to increase their control of the legislature, and require citizens to present a photo ID to vote.
Walker’s appointees are Middleton attorney James Troupis, who will replace a retiring judge on the Dane County bench, and Michael Screnock, a former Michael Best and Friedrich attorney, who will replace a retiring judge on the Sauk County bench.
Screnock has not made campaign contributions to any legislative or statewide candidates, including Walker. Troupis contributed about $27,000 between January 2000 and Oct. 20, 2014, to numerous Republican legislative and statewide candidates and officeholders, but not to Walker.
Both Troupis and Screnock were on a team of lawyers that successfully defended the governor’s effort to sharply cut public employee union bargaining rights before a state appeals court and the Wisconsin Supreme Court. They were also among the lawyers hired in 2011 by majority Republican lawmakers to successfully defend a plan that redrew legislative district boundaries to generally favor Republicans in elections through at least 2020. Troupis also helped successfully defend the state’s voter identification law sought by Walker and legislative Republicans.
A judge?! ... One of the "gerrymanderists" ... becomes a judge and now wants on our Supreme Court ..



WI 1848 Forward: Bad Choice > Michael #Screnock == #Gablemen Sauk County judge, Act 10 defender Supreme Court seat

WI 1848 Forward: Bad Choice > Michael " #Gerrymander " #Screnock Sauk Co judge, Act 10 defender Supreme Court seat

A Bad Idea: To Limit the National #Debt ... Better to Limit Individual #Wealth

What these Wisconsin Legislators want to do for a Constitutional Amendment to limit the national debt is just absurd ...


Imagine emergency spending for disasters ... one part of the country will be pitted against another.

WI 1848 Forward: A Bad Idea: To Limit the National #Debt ... Better to Limit Individual #Wealth

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Vos announces PayToPlay Center at UWMadison: Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership



Republicans Announce New Policy Center At UW-Madison
... Assembly Speaker Robin Vos and other top Republicans have announced a new leadership center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison that Vos said will "offset some of the liberal thinking" on campus. 
The speaker’s remarks came as UW-Madison Chancellor Rebecca Blank pledged that the new Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership would promote nonpartisan research....

Gee sounds unilateral, ahem, mean non-partisan, to me ... hahaha!


PRESS RELEASE In Unprecedented Move, JFC Republicans Allot Millions to Establish Partisan, Conservative Think Tank at UW-Madison Plan allots $500,000 for speakers to appear on other UW Campuses By State Rep. Chris Taylor - May 26th, 2017

MADISON – Yesterday, the Republican-controlled Joint Finance Committee allocated $3 million in state funds in an unprecedented move to use taxpayer money to fund a partisan, conservative think tank at UW-Madison called the Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership. Republican Assembly Speaker Robin Vos stated in media accounts that this Center was designed to counter “left-leaning” research organizations and “liberal thinking” on campus.
This comes on the heels of a bill Vos is attempting to push through the legislature that unconstitutionally punishes students for exercising their First Amendment rights by the threat of expulsion.
The think tank will actually be controlled by a board dominated by exclusively Republican political appointees without a single Democratic appointment. According to press accounts, UW Political Science Professor Ryan Owens, a former staffer to Governor Thompson who has received funding from the conservative Bradley Foundation, is vying to lead the Center. A significant portion, $500,000, must be used to pay speakers for engagements at other UW campuses.

So you know him when you see him --



#WPR WI 1848 Forward: #Vos announces #PayToPlay Center at #UWMadison: Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership

Monday, May 15, 2017

Did you ever wonder how someone makes up their mind? Others and George Lakoff


Did you ever wonder how someone makes up their mind?  How they then become so resolute in what they "believe" to be the real truth or fact?

Over the past several years, especially since Scott Walker was elected governor of our state, I have been among the wandering wonderers.  Pragmatically people had beliefs, that although I felt were wrong, they held those beliefs nonetheless.  How does one go about affecting beliefs or changing a person's mind let alone a group?  So I kept the question in my mind and passively went about creating a record, in a blog, collecting facts over time and see if I could find "facts" that changed my mind or to say more accurately, refined my thoughts.

Along the way I collected so many stories from different people and disciplines that were independently interesting.  As I collected those stories it seemed they were only related to some small part of my question.

Many things were mulled over and then I encountered the following which I posted in January, 2012. My interest stemmed from curiosity about "Behavioral Economics".  The use of the word "moral" in the title also intrigued me since the politics of many to the right seem to believe they have "a better moral compass" than others.

TED : Dan Ariely - Our buggy moral code - explains ENRON, Politics


A month later I encountered from many sources, how at least one "social psychologist" had concluded from research that liberals did not like to see "animals or people harmed" but conservatives "ranked loyalty to the tribe" first among their values.  He added that these were tendencies and otherwise liberals and conservatives were not so different.  This was added to the blog in March, 2012.

MSNBC, CSPAN, TED, PBS - Moyers -How do Liberals & Conservatives View World - Haidt


Among other first collected stories another came from this TED talk and my subsequent reading of Kahneman's book Thinking, Fast and Slow.  He is a Nobel winner in Economics but professionally a psychologist. I learned we are neither rationale nor conscious, and rather easily biased by clever people. It slowly has sunk in and there were even a few guideposts about what clever people do to influence or at least get you to a point where you are more likely to listen and perhaps adopt or become more inflexible in your beliefs.  I put my blog entry out in September, 2012.

Think Politics - TED - Kahneman - Riddle: Experience vs Memory


The following blog entry was posted in December, 2013.  As a "sign-post" telling us where we were and where we are going. I have not encountered any story that better describe the differences in "political philosophy" between liberals and conservatives;  sort of whether they know it or not

Market Economy versus Market Society: Inequality and Civic Decisions - TED - Michael Sandel


September, 2015 - Two Hour Episode - PBS

A story of an optimistic man, biologist, originator of the field of "socialbiology"  and has changed our world view and the view of evolution and the human condition.  "We are a dysfunctional species.  ... [We have] Paleolithic emotions, we have medieval institutions, and on top of all that we have developed God like technology ... ... I have been a happy man in a terrible century."

E.O. Wilson of Ants and Men


October- November, 2015 - Six Episodes on PBS

David Eagleman (book and series) brings home conclusively how we are basically unconscious creatures.  Sad illustrations of how children deprived of nurture will never recover a normal life or intellect if the are deprived for the first 2-3 years of their life.

He also presents compelling insight as to how we are manipulated and genocide continues in our time.

The Brain - David Eagleman


This blog entry from January, 2016, is the product of a long study that began before 2011 by UW Professor Katherine Cramer.  The re-election of Scot Walker and the pending 2016 Presidential election brought the research into the fore.

Walker crafted messaging to exploit perceived differences that in reality did not exist.
“You’ve got a world driven by Madison, and a world driven by everybody else out across the majority of the rest of the state of Wisconsin,” said Walker on Wednesday at a capitol press conference. (April 7, 2011)
"The Politics of Resentment" = Scott Walker's political rise == rural resentment against the "liberal elite"


You need a toolkit and we often forget to be persuasive by listening and being creative ... from July, 2016 blog entry.
Psychology has a golden rule: If I am warm, you are usually warm. If I am hostile, you are too. But what happens if you flip the script and meet hostility with warmth? It's called "non-complementary behavior" — a mouthful, but a powerful concept, and very hard to execute. Alix and Hanna examine three attempts to pull it off: during a robbery, a terrorism crisis and a dating dry spell.
NPR: Invisibilia: Flip The Script > Dealing With Hostility, Anger, Confrontation - The Opposite


From the blog in March, 2017 about cognitive dissonance and why "you won't change your min
“A man with a conviction is a hard man to change,” Festinger, Henry Riecken, and Stanley Schacter wrote in When Prophecy Fails, their 1957 book about this study. “Tell him you disagree and he turns away. Show him facts or figures and he questions your sources. Appeal to logic and he fails to see your point … Suppose that he is presented with evidence, unequivocal and undeniable evidence, that his belief is wrong: what will happen? The individual will frequently emerge, not only unshaken, but even more convinced of the truth of his beliefs than ever before.” ...
This Article Won’t Change Your Mind - The Atlantic


In May, 2017, I read this story and in many ways it motivated me to put this collection of stories together.  It will not be that "last story" by any means but it is rather like a capstone event.  In retrospect I feel many of the previous stories contained the same elements but like the "progressives" and the "conservatives" I could not see nor hear those elements.  Why could I not understand the points made by George Lakoff?  Perhaps I just had to "take the journey".

Perhaps his "clues" in how to operationalize your "hearing aid" was most important.  His message is not so seemingly obtuse as his field of study, Cognitive Science and Linguistics.

...Lakoff’s message is simple, but it is couched in the language of cognitive linguistics and neuroscience. The problem is that political candidates rely on pollsters and PR people, not linguists or neuroscientists. So when Lakoff repeatedly says that “voters don’t vote their self-interest, they vote their values,” progressive politicians continually ignore him. His ideas don’t fit in with their worldview, so they can’t hear him.
But a worldview is exactly what Lakoff is talking about. “Ideas don’t float in the air, they live in your neuro-circuitry,” Lakoff said. Each time ideas in our neural circuits are activated, they get stronger. And over time, complexes of neural circuits create a frame through which we view the world. “The problem is, that frame is unconscious,” Lakoff said. “You aren’t aware of it because you don’t have access to your neural circuits.” So what happens when you hear facts that don’t fit in your worldview is that you can’t process them: you might ignore them, or reject or attack them, or literally not hear them. 
... Our thoughts are chemical in nature, and occur within the confines of a physical body: we are not 100 percent rational beings.
So if you are going to craft a message that can reach people who disagree with you, you have to understand their subconscious worldview. Lakoff calls this worldview a “frame,” and claims that Republicans have done a much better job with framing over the past 30 or 40 years. Republicans understand the narrative that governs many people in this country, and they target their message directly to that worldview. Democrats, on the other hand, ignore the worldview and focus instead on rationality, facts and policies. 
... Lakoff gave a talk recently at the Center for Right-Wing Studies and pointed out that students who become Democratic operatives tend to study political studies and statistics and demographics in college. “Students who lean Republican study marketing. “And that’s his point,” Rosenthal said. “It’s a very different way of thinking.” 
The rest of the story, if you read it, will either be an "ah ha" moment or something you "just can't believe".

Berkeley author George Lakoff says, ‘Don’t underestimate Trump’


WI 1848 Forward: How someone makes up their mind?  Others & George Lakoff - Radical #Conservatives vs #Progressives




Friday, May 12, 2017

Voter Suppression > It begins anew with the Census - How GOP minority schemes to hold on.

Under count in the "blue areas" and over count in the "red areas" and then use "gerrymandering" to jigger the results more in favor of the minority GOP party. Toss in more difficult "voter id" laws and you have the GOP suppressing the majority.


Alternatively just do such a bad job that everybody ends up in court and the conservatives on the Supreme Court do the bidding of the "conservatives".

U.S. Census director resigns amid turmoil over funding of 2020 count By Tara Bahrampour

... The decennial count typically requires a massive ramp-up in spending in the years immediately preceding it, involving extensive testing, hiring and publicity. However, in late April Congress approved only $1.47 billion for the Census Bureau in the 2017 fiscal year, about 10 percent below what the Obama administration had requested. And experts say the White House’s proposed budget for 2018, $1.5 billion, falls far below what is needed. ...
Trump’s Commission on ‘Election Integrity’ Will Lead to Massive Voter Suppression It will be led by Mike Pence and Kris Kobach, who have a very long history of making it harder to vote. By Ari Berman, The Nation

Two days after firing FBI director James Comey and creating a full-blown constitutional crisis, Donald Trump signed an executive order today creating a presidential commission on “election integrity,” based on his debunked claims that millions voted illegally in 2016.

Vice President Mike Pence will be the chair and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach will be the vice chair—two men with very long histories of making it harder to vote, especially Kobach. Given the lack of evidence of voter fraud, the commission seems designed for one purpose: to perpetuate the myth of fraud in order to lay the groundwork for enacting policies that suppress the vote.
Extreme Maps - Laura Royden, Michael Li 5/09/1717 - Brennan Ctr

Using data from the 2012, 2014, and 2016 election cycles, Extreme Maps finds that partisan bias resulting largely from the worst gerrymandering abuses in just a few battleground states provides Republicans a durable advantage of 16-17 seats in the current Congress, representing a significant portion of the 24 seats Democrats would need to gain control of the House in 2020. These "extreme maps" were all drawn in states under single-party control; the report finds that conversely, maps drawn by independent commissions, courts, or split-party state governments had significantly less partisan bias in their maps. 

Gerrymander in Wisconsin



Analysis indicates partisan gerrymandering has benefited GOP

The AP scrutinized the outcomes of all 435 U.S. House races and about 4,700 state House and Assembly seats up for election last year using a new statistical method of calculating partisan advantage. It’s designed to detect cases in which one party may have won, widened or retained its grip on power through political gerrymandering. 
The analysis found four times as many states with Republican-skewed state House or Assembly districts than Democratic ones. Among the two dozen most populated states that determine the vast majority of Congress, there were nearly three times as many with Republican-tilted U.S. House districts. 
Traditional battlegrounds such as Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida and Virginia were among those with significant Republican advantages in their U.S. or state House races. All had districts drawn by Republicans after the last Census in 2010.


#VoterSuppression > It begins anew with the #Census - How #GOP minority schemes to hold on.  2018 is #Dems critical

#Pence WI 1848 Forward: #VoterSuppression begins with the #Census - #GOP minority schemes 2018 is #Dems critical

WI 1848 Forward: #Gerrymander == #VoterSuppression begins with the #Census -radical #GOP minority

Sunday, April 23, 2017

Private & Corporate Greed vs Public Good & Neighbors - Why Regulation? Perfect Poster Child

Out-of-sight leads to "out-of-mind" irony!  How has this come to be?  Campaign money in their pocket and a tilted WI Legislature dominated by the GOP clothed in "all regulation (hence government)  is bad" - and bad for business.  As a significant agricultural state more analogies seem appropriate ... "We have had the GOP guarding the chicken coop" far too long.

I have an engineering friend who deals with zoning and regulation all the time.  He is glad to have some government "rules" or he would be building high rises without sprinkler systems - because the customer would want it that way in order to compete with other builders.

These "literal downstream consequences" are so easy to overlook until the stream becomes muddy or the trout disappear.

Perhaps even more ironic ... is the "groundwater" treated as a "free good" ... I only have to pay for the high-capacity well and electricity to operate it ... the water is free even it comes unwillingly from my neighbor. Remember water flows downhill even groundwater ... and campaign money is perhaps more important than the "public good".


 Assembly Lawmakers Debate High Capacity Wells 
"These are not our resources to give," says Representative Chris Taylor while speaking on the Assembly floor on the subject of high capacity wells. "They are our resources to protect for the people of our state and for their children and for their children." On May 2, 2017, author of the bill, Gary Tauchen, explains, "We need to recognize, too, that manufacturing and agriculture are the big job drivers in the state of Wisconsin."

As global groundwater disappears, rice, wheat and other international crops may start to vanish

... and in Wisconsin

State OKs pumping of 1 billion gallons from vulnerable aquifers


Since October, Wisconsin has approved requests from businesses for a billion gallons per month in new groundwater withdrawals from locations where the state’s own experts warned that higher pumping levels could be expected to harm vulnerable lakes, streams and drinking water supplies.
The increase was added by revising dozens of permits for high-capacity wells after regulations were relaxed in June at the urging of business groups and Republicans who control state government.
Meanwhile, the state Assembly is poised for a final vote on removing yet another layer of groundwater protection next month by ending the limited environmental reviews still allowed for certain existing wells. ...
"The Politics of Resentment" = Scott Walker's political rise == rural resentment against the "liberal elite"

WI 1848 Forward: Private & Corporate #Greed vs Public Good & Neighbors - Why #Regulation ? Perfect #GOP #PosterChild

WI 1848 Forward: #GroundWater #Greed vs Public Good & Neighbors - Why #Regulation ? Perfect #GOP #PosterChild

WI 1848 Forward: #GroundWater #Greed vs Public Good & Neighbors - Why #Regulation is needed Rep Chris Taylor - kids!

Sunday, April 2, 2017

FB FAILED 30 MILLION USERS DATA BEING HARVESTED BY TRUMP CAMPAIGN AFFILIATE



FACEBOOK FAILED TO PROTECT 30 MILLION USERS FROM HAVING THEIR DATA HARVESTED BY TRUMP CAMPAIGN AFFILIATE

 3/30/2017

IN 2014, TRACES of an unusual survey, connected to Facebook, began appearing on internet message boards. The boards were frequented by remote freelance workers who bid on “human intelligence tasks” in an online marketplace, called Mechanical Turk, controlled by Amazon. The “turkers,” as they’re known, tend to perform work that is rote and repetitive, like flagging pornographic images or digging through search engine results for email addresses. Most jobs pay between 1 and 15 cents. “Turking makes us our rent money and helps pay off debt,” one turker told The Intercept. Another turker has called the work “voluntary slave labor.”
The task posted by “Global Science Research” appeared ordinary, at least on the surface. The company offered turkers $1 or $2 to complete an online survey. But there were a couple of additional requirements as well. First, Global Science Research was only interested in American turkers. Second, the turkers had to download a Facebook app before they could collect payment. Global Science Research said the app would “download some information about you and your network … basic demographics and likes of categories, places, famous people, etc. from you and your friends.”
“Our terms of service clearly prohibit misuse,” said a spokesperson for Amazon Web Services, by email. “When we learned of this activity back in 2015, we suspended the requester for violating our terms of service.”
... read the whole thing ... 

WI 1848 Forward: #FB FAILED 30M USERS DATA BEING HARVESTED BY# TRUMP CAMPAIGN AFFILIATE -2016 #election interference

Thursday, March 16, 2017

Counties and Healthcare -- What's the real truth!

The interesting numbers come at the end.  Did you know that 35 counties have 1000 or fewer people, 307 counties have a population under 5000 and that 709 counties have a population under 10000.

That is over 1000 counties.  I have heard the "1000 county" argument as evidence that ACA is collapsing.  No particulars provided to clarify which 1000 counties out of slightly over 3000.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/County_(United_States)  ... derived from Census data.
981 counties have a population over 50,000; 
592 counties have a population over 100,000; 
137 counties have a population over 500,000; 
45 counties have a population over 1,000,000; 
and 14 counties have a population over 2,000,000. 
35 counties have a population under 1,000; 
307 counties have a population under 5,000; 
709 counties have a population under 10,000; 
and 1,492 counties have a population between 10,000 and 50,000.[30]

I have been waiting for "the media" to bring this fact out.  I suspect that it is next to impossible to provide onsite hospitals, doctors, healthcare professionals or even a dentist or chiropractor in those counties let alone an insurance company interested in developing a marketplace.  That does not mean you cannot have healthcare coverage -- just means you are going to have to go a long way to see a provider.

The 1492 counties in the middle are going have fewer options too!

Florence Cnty WI >Social Not Just Physical Infrastructure should be Dems Party Strategy

6/12/2017
There are now 47 counties where no health plans want to sell Obamacare

Approximately 38,000 Obamacare enrollees now live in places where no health plans want to sell Obamacare coverage in 2018. This is a small fraction of Obamacare enrollees — about 0.3 percent — who mostly live in rural, sparsely populated areas.
July 2017

Rural Californians Want Price Relief From GOP Health Bill, But Most Won't Get It

Aaron Albaugh peers out from under the brim of his cowboy hat, surveying the acres of hay fields in front of him. The fourth-generation rancher is raising about 450 cattle this year, in this remote corner of Lassen County, California.
His closest neighbor lives a half mile away. "And that's my brother," Albaugh says.
"If I want to go see a movie, it's 70 miles, round-trip," he adds. "If I want to go bowling, that's 100 miles, round-trip."
Living a half day's drive from civilization, you learn to do without, he explains. If your refrigerator breaks, you put your food on ice until the weekend when you can go buy a new one. With health care, it's the same thing.


WI 1848 Forward: #Counties and #Healthcare -- What's the real truth about #GOP #Trumpcare #Ryancare vs #ACA

WI 1848 Forward: Counties and Healthcare -- 1,492 counties have a pop between 10,000 and 50k ... hence few options

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

This Article Won’t Change Your Mind -The Atlantic


This Article Won’t Change Your Mind - The facts on why facts alone can’t fight false beliefs - The Atlantic JULIE BECK is a senior associate editor at The Atlantic, where she covers health and psychology.

From the article ... I have added emphasis here and there ...

The theory of cognitive dissonance—the extreme discomfort of simultaneously holding two thoughts that are in conflict—was developed by the social psychologist Leon Festinger in the 1950s. In a famous study, Festinger and his colleagues embedded themselves with a doomsday prophet named Dorothy Martin and her cult of followers who believed that spacemen called the Guardians were coming to collect them in flying saucers, to save them from a coming flood. Needless to say, no spacemen (and no flood) ever came, but Martin just kept revising her predictions. Sure, the spacemen didn’t show up today, but they were sure to come tomorrow, and so on. The researchers watched with fascination as the believers kept on believing, despite all the evidence that they were wrong.

“A man with a conviction is a hard man to change,” Festinger, Henry Riecken, and Stanley Schacter wrote in When Prophecy Fails, their 1957 book about this study. “Tell him you disagree and he turns away. Show him facts or figures and he questions your sources. Appeal to logic and he fails to see your point … Suppose that he is presented with evidence, unequivocal and undeniable evidence, that his belief is wrong: what will happen? The individual will frequently emerge, not only unshaken, but even more convinced of the truth of his beliefs than ever before.” ... 
Seems like the above is the nicest thing you can say about President Donald Trump and his alter ego ... Sean Spicer (what an ironic last name).
This doubling down in the face of conflicting evidence is a way of reducing the discomfort of dissonance, and is part of a set of behaviors known in the psychology literature as “motivated reasoning.” Motivated reasoning is how people convince themselves or remain convinced of what they want to believe—they seek out agreeable information and learn it more easily; and they avoid, ignore, devalue, forget, or argue against information that contradicts their beliefs. ...

Again anyone count how many times President Donald Trump has been described as doubling down! WOW!

The sad truth about President Donald Trump ... or is it a fact ... it is circular ... he believes himself!

What are the manifestations/consequences ...

And in modern America, one of the groups that people have most intensely hitched their identities to is their political party. Americans are more politically polarized than they’ve been in decades, possibly ever. There isn’t public-opinion data going back to the Federalists and the Democratic Republicans, of course. But political scientists Keith Poole and Howard Rosenthal look at the polarization in Congress. And the most recent data shows that 2015 had the highest rates of polarization since 1879, the earliest year for which there’s data. And that was even before well, you know.

Party Polarization, 1879-2015

See the graph ...

There is more to the article ... a very good read!  After you finish it try this...

NPR: Invisibilia: Flip The Script > Dealing With Hostility, Anger, Confrontation - The Opposite

WI 1848 Forward: This Article Won’t Change Your Mind - The #Atlantic #TheAtlantic #Trump #Facts #Fiction Skepticism

WI 1848 Forward: Motivated Reasoning - Doubling Down when you are wrong! The #Atlantic #TheAtlantic #Trump #Facts

Saturday, February 25, 2017

Sen Tammy Baldwin vs Karl Rove vs OneNationAmerica.org == OneNation

This organization (as of 2/2017) is running cable television commercials (perhaps other markets) targeting Senator Baldwin.  You should know where they are coming from before you accept their message.

From ConservativeTransparency

One Nation is a nonprofit 501(c)4 addition to Karl Rove’s “constellation of Crossroads organizations.” The group “aims to advance well-constructed solutions to our country’s most urgent challenges: its plodding economy, massive debt, job-killing regulations and weakness in an increasingly dangerous world.”
In contrast to Crossroads GPS and American Crossroads, which plan to focus on the presidential race in 2016, One Nation is aimed solely at influencing Senate elections. And it’s wasting no time in getting to work: As of May 2015, One Nation had already purchased $2 million worth of radio, digital and print ads “touting” incumbent Republican senators facing tough reelections in 2016, including Sens. Kelly Ayotte, Mark Kirk, Richard Burr, Rob Portman, and Pat Toomey. The ads praise the senators for supporting trade-promotion authority and urge congressional action “to protect” Medicare and Medicare Advantage.  The spending included $325,000 on ads in New Hampshire in support of Ayotte, and $400,000 in Pennsylvania in support of Toomey. Its ads in Ohio praised Portman for “helping to lead the way” to consensus in Congress.
In October 2015, One Nation launched an ad buy in New Hampshire attempting to defend Sen. Ayotte on women’s health issues. They additionally purchased ads in Missouri defending Sen. Roy Blunt, which were supposedly focused on highlighting Sen. Blunt’s “ability to work across the aisle.”
Sen. Mitch McConnell’s former chief of staff, Steven Law, is the president of One Nation, along with its sister organizations American Crossroads and Crossroads GPS. Law is also executive chairman of the Senate Leadership Fund, a super PAC “devoted solely to retaining the Senate majority” that “aims to be the go-to destination for major Republican donors interested in Senate races.” Ian Prior is cited as a spokesman for the group; Prior previously served as communications director for Crossroads / Crossroads GPS and, prior to that, as National Press Secretary & Deputy Communications Director for the National Republican Congressional Committee. ...

Open Secrets has more!


Sen Tammy #Baldwin vs Karl #Rove vs #OneNationAmerica.org == #OneNation

Friday, February 3, 2017

TED: Why we need Social Security and Pension Systems - NOT Numerate Pop!

Sort of a British talk but with International perspective!  Today Trump proposed that financial advisers do not have to take their clients interests into account when providing advice.

Considering financial markets let alone numbers are beyond most of us ... that is fraud waiting to happen.  Eliminating Social Security will create hundreds of millions of "suckers".


Think you're good at guessing stats? Guess again. Whether we consider ourselves math people or not, our ability to understand and work with numbers is terribly limited, says data visualization expert Alan Smith. In this delightful talk, Smith explores the mismatch between what we know and what we think we know.
In general most of us are not good with numbers let alone statistics.  See the Kahneman piece on Thinking, Fast and Slow.  It is another point on why we get things wrong just when it is critical that we get them right.

As an aside one has to wonder why the GOP and its leaders, like Ryan, are always trying to do in Social Security.  It is not bankrupt and projected to be solvent for years to come, and there are so many ways to adjust it without being unfair.  It comes down to the fact that corporations have to pay in a matching amount to your contribution.  Cutting that in any way amounts to big tax cut for businesses and shareholders.  So obvious it is easy to miss.

WI 1848 Forward #TED >Why we need #SocialSecurity and Pension Systems - We are mostly NOT Numerate people! #Kahneman

WI 1848 Forward: The real reason the #GOP , #Ryan wants to cut #SocialSecurity. Corporate #TaxBreak

Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Social Infrastructure: Wisconsin Alternative Budget vs Divide and Conquer Walker



WATCH: Citizen Action of Wisconsin Presents Alternative State Budget


WAUSAU, WI (WSAU) -- Citizen Action of Wisconsin has been touring all over Wisconsin and presenting their alternative budget entitled "A Wisconsin Budget for All". Tuesday the group made a stop in Wausau. 
Robert Kraig, Executive Director of Citizen Action of Wisconsin, says they've found a way to improve to large issues in their alternative budget. 
He said, "The idea is to show them if we close some big tax loopholes that go mainly to well-connected corporations and a few wealthy people, that we could make major new investments. So, A Wisconsin Budget for All shows, for example, we could have a free tech college education, we could raise wages for low-income people substantially."
Kraig says the group was very surprised by some of the results of the research they did leading up to presenting the alternative budget. 
"Researchers actually went to coffee shops, bars, and restaurants and talked to people and what we found actually is that people would actually like to spend more on universities, more on schools, more on infrastructure, but they feel like if they send that money to Madison it'll basically be stolen there and go to special interests," Kraig said.
Kraig wants this alternative budget to get people talking.  ...


A Wisconsin Budget for All 
For too long, we’ve all been told that there’s not enough money in the budget to help our communities thrive. That is not true. Actually, there is enough. Making a budget is about making choices. Lawmakers can choose to help private special interests that rig the system, or lawmakers can choose to promote the common good.

Simply cleaning up the tax code by closing two loopholes that the well-connected have created for themselves can restore nearly $900 million to the budget to invest in crucial priorities that your community so desperately needs. After all, that should be what taxes are for. They’re not supposed to be for feathering the nests of those who manipulate the system. They’re supposed to be our joint investments for improving our lives and for bolstering the vitality of all of our communities across Wisconsin.

There are three core areas — work, education, and health — where this restored funding would make a huge difference for hard-working Wisconsin families like yours and for the life of your community.

Read the full proposal, “A Wisconsin Budget for All” and learn how we can push for a budget that will help all our communities thrive.
  • Supporters of A Wisconsin Budget for All: 9to5 Wisconsin • Citizen Action of Wisconsin • Coalition of Wisconsin Aging Groups • Community Advocates Public Policy Institute • League of Women Voters of Wisconsin • Lutheran Office for Public Policy in Wisconsin • Madison-Area Urban Ministry • National Association of Social Workers, WI Chapter •  SEIU Wisconsin State Council • Wisconsin Alliance for Women’s Health • Wisconsin Council of Churches • Wisconsin Council on Children and Families • Wisconsin Democracy Campaign • Wisconsin Education Association Council (WEAC) • Wisconsin Faith Voices for Justice • Wisconsin Federation of Nurses and Health Professionals • Wisconsin Friends Action Network • WISDOM

WI 1848 Forward: #SocialInfrastructure : #Wisconsin > Responsible-Alternative #Budget vs #Divide&Conquer #Walker