What happens - Pre-Mortem ! #Ukraine forced to #capitulate! #Taiwan succumbs to #China ! #USDefense Capability (no chips)? #USDebt % zooms UP ?- #USTreasuryCollapse ? #Trump #Project2025 #Vance
Thursday, July 18, 2024
APNORC.org poll: Democrats seem to feel really strongly that Trump should not be President?
When I found this image/page 'methodology' popped into my mind? Who did they survey ... voters? No!
The answer was 'households'. Next question was how was the blue or red ball selected ... this starts to get tricky or problematic. That does not mean they were doing a good or bad job ... all I CAN DO IS GO HMMMM! There is some weighting going on?
The beauty of polls ... there are so many to choose from and you can never stick your foot in the same river twice.
Most of us rely on someone to interpret the poll for us ... what do they really know - hard to know? ... and the way things are titled/labeled ... bias ... apples to apples or apples to oranges in this case.
To me I looked at the 'Overall' category and conclude that neither Trump nor Biden should be running for President with less confidence in Biden! Not a surprise given 'current' events. How about in 100 days?
57% think Trump should withdraw and 71% think Biden should withdraw - 14 point difference w/o knowing confidence bounds. Remember these are estimates from household sample not voters which is to say confidence bounds are even more uncertain. The wider the bounds means another sample is likely to give very different 'estimates'.
At this point the 'tea leaves' have been muddled ... personally my call would be based on who do I trust to look out for 'democracy'. That's easy ... someone with a track record of 'empathy' not someone who thinks they are a victim, judged and convicted of felonies under rule of law by their peers.
Democrats seem to feel really strongly that Trump should not be President, Independents less so ... again we come down to turnout by these crudely 'sampled and modeled' groups.
#Project2025 should terrify you (and your loved ones) - it's not about #freedom ...
#APNORC.org poll: #Democrats seem to feel really strongly that #NotTrump should not be #President? 57% think #Trump should withdraw and 71% think #Biden should withdraw.
What happens when you take your #uterus on a vacation ? Frequent Flyer Miles or Electronic Tracking tag?
What happens when you take your #uterus on a vacation ? Frequent Flyer Miles or Electronic #Tracking tag? #Project2025 #Vance
Wednesday, July 17, 2024
If #Deportation Camps are built what happens to you ?
Eisenhower didn't always check citizenship (first) in the Wetback Nation Operation of the 1950s before putting you on the bus to Mexico.
NOT ' Our Better Angels ' : #Wetback Nation #Deportation #Citizens #Latinos
If #Deportation Camps are built what happens to you ? #Wetback #1950s #Latinas
Civil Service ... to avoid Graft and Corruption not to mention include Expertise
Planning in #2022 to undo #CivilService
Wikipedia --
The spoils system meant that jobs were used to support the American political parties, though this was gradually changed by the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act of 1883 and subsequent laws. By 1909, almost two-thirds of the U.S. federal workforce was appointed based on merit, that is, qualifications measured by tests. Certain senior civil service positions, including some heads of diplomatic missions and executive agencies, are filled by political appointees. Under the Hatch Act of 1939, civil servants are not allowed to engage in political activities while performing their duties.[22]
Federal Civil Service since 1893, Pendleton Act
The federal service employed approximately 300 individuals by 1789. By the end of the 19th century, it had reached 208,000. As a consequence of the First World War, this number rose to 900,000. Between the wars, the workforce experienced fluctuations between 500 and 600,000. The one million mark was surpassed in the early 1940s, with a record 3.3 million people recorded as part of the federal civil service by 1945. This figure then receded to 2.1 million by October 1946.[21]
In the early 19th century, positions in the federal government were held at the pleasure of the president—a person could be fired at any time. The spoils system meant that jobs were used to support the American political parties, though this was gradually changed by the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act of 1883 and subsequent laws. By 1909, almost two-thirds of the U.S. federal workforce was appointed based on merit, that is, qualifications measured by tests. Certain senior civil service positions, including some heads of diplomatic missions and executive agencies, are filled by political appointees. Under the Hatch Act of 1939, civil servants are not allowed to engage in political activities while performing their duties.[22] In some cases, an outgoing administration will give its political appointees positions with civil service protection in order to prevent them from being fired by the new administration; this is called "burrowing" in civil service jargon.[23]
#CivilService ... to avoid #Graft and #Corruption not to mention include #Expertise
#CivilService ... Project 2025 to bring back #Graft and #Corruption
Joe - stay the course ... like the 'X' or 'tweet' if you agree and read the 'page' ! Small donors unite !
Joe Biden is an effective campaigner and the best at getting things done.
If the Dems try to retool now they will lose anyway.
Of course they have Joe already setup as their scapegoat.
Trump is a 'one trick pony' ... autocrat and will end elections, democracy - period. You should check out On Tyranny by Timothy Synder
I'm ask for money all the time and generally would help across the board.
Ohio, Montana might still get some support even though some of the messaging from those corners is pretty pathetic. From now on 'selectivity' based on who supports Biden is going to be the screen.
Tester and Brown are important to Senate majority but neither state (Montana, Ohio) will change electoral 'totals' - outcomes already determined. Did Schumer give them more money?
Given the issues in this campaign and that most voters are not yet really zooming in yet ... even though they know what they will do ... Biden will win.
Additionally I think it takes his governing ability to follow thru on manufacturing, education and healthcare initiatives ... that is what we stand to lose.
Truman did it!
Joe #Biden for President
Small #Donors support #Biden
Sunday, July 14, 2024
Jounalism 's Role - Don't do ... 'Both-sides-ism is suicide for democracy'
Yale History Professor Timothy Snyder discusses Donald Trump's repeated use of violent and dystopic rhetoric and what can be done by citizens push back against it.
Starving the Watchdog - Hidden Brain - NPR - Dec. 2018
Our individual answer ... act, take an action, e.g., write to the newspaper editor.
#Jounalism 's Role - Don't do ... 'Both-sides-ism is #suicide for #democracy '
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