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Finger People - Universal Language - Honduras

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

What's a 'Living Wage'? What's a 'Poverty Wage'?

 Living Wage calculator (MIT)


The living wage shown is the hourly rate that an individual in a household must earn to support themselves and/or their family, working full-time, or 2080 hours per year. The tables below provide living wage estimates for individuals and households with one or two working adults and zero to three children. In households with two working adults, all hourly values reflect what one working adult requires to earn to meet their families’ basic needs, assuming the other adult also earns the same.

The poverty wage and state minimum wage are for reference purposes. Poverty wage estimates come from the Department of Health and Human Services’ Poverty Guidelines for 2024 and have been converted from an annual value to an hourly wage for ease of comparison. The state minimum wage data is sourced from the Labor Law Center and includes the minimum wage in a given state as of January of that year.

For further detail, please reference the Methodology page. The data on this page was last updated on February 14, 2024.






















What's a 'Living Wage'?  What's a 'Poverty Wage'? $20 in Wisconsin for 'Living'!

Wednesday, December 11, 2024

ProPublica: How a Decades-Old Loophole Lets Billionaires Avoid Medicare Taxes 12/11/24

 

ProPublica 12/11/24


How a Decades-Old Loophole Lets Billionaires Avoid Medicare Taxes

Some of Wall Street’s richest and most powerful figures are using a legal loophole to avoid paying millions of dollars in taxes earmarked for health care, a ProPublica investigation found.


The three billionaires contacted for this article said they followed the law as written. They also pointed to the fact that they paid substantial income tax, which for them carries a much higher rate. Medicare tax is 2.9% for most people and 3.8% for high earners.

 

But these maneuvers by the rich hasten Medicare’s future crisis. Sometime in the 2030s, the program’s trust fund is due to run dry. Closing the loophole, along with eliminating other ways around the tax for wealthy business owners, could raise more than $250 billion over 10 years for Medicare, according to recent government estimates



Billionaries - Never enough  - Billionaires Avoid Medicare Taxes 

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Deep State - Trump and Psycho Warfare ... Fire Everybody

 


https://www.cbo.gov/publication/60235


published April 2024


Does this report satisfy the definitional precision required to get a 'ballpark' sense that firing all federal employees does not reduce the annual federal budget by much?

It does have a 'sociological' impact, when ignored however, which is the real purpose to serve an audience that probably is willing to think the 'firing' would reduce the budget significantly.

Do the arithmetic (271 billion / 6.272 trillion) =  4.03 % of the budget !


In this report, the Congressional Budget Office compares the cost that the federal government incurred in 2022 for the wages and benefits of its civilian employees with the cost that private employers incurred for employees who appear similar in their educational attainment and other observable characteristics likely to affect wages.


Summary

The federal government employs about 2.3 million civilian workers—or 1.4 percent of the U.S. workforce—in jobs that represent over 650 occupations at more than 100 agencies. It competes with private-sector employers for people who possess the mix of attributes needed to do the work of its various agencies.

In fiscal year 2022, the federal government spent roughly $271 billion to compensate those civilian employees. About 60 percent of that total was spent on civilian personnel working in the Department of Defense, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and the Department of Homeland Security. (bold added)

Compared with private-sector workers, federal workers tend to be older, more educated, and more concentrated in professional occupations. To account for those differences, the Congressional Budget Office limited its comparisons to employees with a set of similar observable characteristics—education, occupation, years of work experience, geographic location, size of employer, veteran status, and certain demographic characteristics (sex, race, ethnicity, marital status, immigration status, and citizenship)—in this report.

Even so, the estimates do not show precisely what federal workers would earn if they were employed in comparable positions in the private sector. Even among workers with similar observable characteristics, federal and private-sector employees may differ in other traits, such as motivation or natural ability, that are not easy to measure but that can greatly affect individuals’ compensation.

This analysis focuses on wages, benefits, and total compensation (the sum of wages and benefits). It is intended to address the question of how the federal government’s compensation costs would change if the average cost of employing federal workers was the same as that of employing private-sector workers with certain similar observable characteristics (the benchmark group). This analysis looks at compensation in 2022 because the temporary effects of the coronavirus pandemic on the federal and private-sector workforces had largely subsided by then. 


 #DeepState - #Trump and #Psycho Warfare ... Fire Everybody ... 

#DeepState - #Trump and #Psycho Warfare ... Fire Everybody ...  At best looking in the wrong shallow rabbit hole

Thursday, July 18, 2024

What happens - Pre-Mortem ! Ukraine forced to capitulate! Taiwan succumbs to China ! US Defense Capability (no chips)? US Debt % zooms UP - Treasury collapse?!

 

What happens - Pre-Mortem ! #Ukraine forced to #capitulate! #Taiwan succumbs to #China ! #USDefense Capability (no chips)? #USDebt % zooms UP ?- #USTreasuryCollapse ? #Trump #Project2025 #Vance


What happens - Pre-Mortem ! #Ukraine forced to #capitulate! #Taiwan succumbs to #China ! #USDefense Capability (no chips)? #USDebt % zooms UP ?- #USTreasuryCollapse ? #Trump #Project2025 #Vance - What happens - Pre-Mortem !

#Trump #LifeThreat #Existential #WWIII brought to you by the #GOP

APNORC.org poll: Democrats seem to feel really strongly that Trump should not be President?

 

When I found this image/page 'methodology' popped into my mind?  Who did they survey ... voters? No!

The answer was 'households'.  Next question was how was the blue or red ball selected ... this starts to get tricky or problematic.  That does not mean they were doing a good or bad job ... all I CAN DO IS GO HMMMM!  There is some weighting going on?

The beauty of polls ... there are so many to choose from and you can never stick your foot in the same river twice.

Most of us rely on someone to interpret the poll for us ... what do they really know - hard to know?  ... and the way things are titled/labeled ... bias ... apples to apples or apples to oranges in this case.

To me I looked at the 'Overall' category and conclude that neither Trump nor Biden should be running for President with less confidence in Biden!   Not a surprise given 'current' events.  How about in 100 days?

57% think Trump should withdraw and 71% think Biden should withdraw - 14 point difference w/o knowing confidence bounds.  Remember these are estimates from household sample not voters which is to say confidence bounds are even more uncertain.  The wider the bounds means another sample is likely to give very different 'estimates'.


At this point the 'tea leaves' have been muddled ... personally my call would be based on who do I trust to look out for 'democracy'.  That's easy ... someone with a track record of 'empathy' not someone who thinks they are a victim, judged and convicted of felonies under rule of law by their peers.


Democrats seem to feel really strongly that Trump should not be President,  Independents less so ... again we come down to turnout by these crudely 'sampled and modeled' groups.


#Project2025 should terrify you (and your loved ones) - it's not about #freedom ... 






















Joe Biden withdrew July 21, 2024.


Poll

#APNORC.org poll: #Democrats seem to feel really strongly that #NotTrump should not be #President? 57% think #Trump should withdraw and 71% think #Biden should withdraw.

What happens when you take your #uterus on a vacation ? Frequent Flyer Miles or Electronic Tracking tag?

 



What happens when you take your #uterus on a vacation ? Frequent Flyer Miles  or Electronic #Tracking tag? #Project2025 #Vance

Wednesday, July 17, 2024

If #Deportation Camps are built what happens to you ?

 

Eisenhower didn't always check citizenship (first) in the Wetback Nation Operation of the 1950s before putting you on the bus to Mexico.


The Largest Mass #Deportation in American History: As many as 1.3 million people may have been swept up in the #Eisenhower-era campaign called 'Operation #Wetback .'


NOT ' Our Better Angels ' : #Wetback Nation #Deportation #Citizens #Latinos 


If #Deportation Camps are built what happens to you ? #Wetback #1950s #Latinas

Civil Service ... to avoid Graft and Corruption not to mention include Expertise

 

Planning in #2022 to undo #CivilService

Wikipedia --


The spoils system meant that jobs were used to support the American political parties, though this was gradually changed by the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act of 1883 and subsequent laws. By 1909, almost two-thirds of the U.S. federal workforce was appointed based on merit, that is, qualifications measured by tests. Certain senior civil service positions, including some heads of diplomatic missions and executive agencies, are filled by political appointees. Under the Hatch Act of 1939, civil servants are not allowed to engage in political activities while performing their duties.[22]


Federal Civil Service since 1893, Pendleton Act


The federal service employed approximately 300 individuals by 1789. By the end of the 19th century, it had reached 208,000. As a consequence of the First World War, this number rose to 900,000. Between the wars, the workforce experienced fluctuations between 500 and 600,000. The one million mark was surpassed in the early 1940s, with a record 3.3 million people recorded as part of the federal civil service by 1945. This figure then receded to 2.1 million by October 1946.[21]

In the early 19th century, positions in the federal government were held at the pleasure of the president—a person could be fired at any time. The spoils system meant that jobs were used to support the American political parties, though this was gradually changed by the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act of 1883 and subsequent laws. By 1909, almost two-thirds of the U.S. federal workforce was appointed based on merit, that is, qualifications measured by tests. Certain senior civil service positions, including some heads of diplomatic missions and executive agencies, are filled by political appointees. Under the Hatch Act of 1939, civil servants are not allowed to engage in political activities while performing their duties.[22] In some cases, an outgoing administration will give its political appointees positions with civil service protection in order to prevent them from being fired by the new administration; this is called "burrowing" in civil service jargon.[23]


#CivilService ... to avoid #Graft and #Corruption not to mention include #Expertise

#CivilService ... Project 2025 to bring back #Graft and #Corruption

Joe - stay the course ... like the 'X' or 'tweet' if you agree and read the 'page' ! Small donors unite !

 

Joe Biden is an effective campaigner and the best at getting things done.

If the Dems try to retool now they will lose anyway.

Of course they have Joe already setup as their scapegoat.

Trump is a 'one trick pony' ... autocrat and will end elections, democracy - period.  You should check out On Tyranny by Timothy Synder


I'm ask for money all the time and generally would help across the board.

Ohio, Montana might still get some support even though some of the messaging from those corners is pretty pathetic.  From now on 'selectivity' based on who supports Biden is going to be the screen.

Tester and Brown are important to Senate majority but neither state (Montana, Ohio) will change electoral 'totals' - outcomes already determined.  Did Schumer give them more money?


Given the issues in this campaign and that most voters are not yet really zooming in yet ... even though they know what they will do ... Biden will win.

Additionally I think it takes his governing ability to follow thru on manufacturing, education and healthcare initiatives ... that is what we stand to lose.

Yammering

Truman did it!


Joe #Biden for President

Small #Donors support #Biden

Joe #Biden for President - WI 1848 Forward: Joe - stay the course ... like the 'X' or 'tweet' to support ...

Small #Donors support #Biden
WI 1848 Forward: Joe - stay the course ... like the 'X' or 'tweet' support ...

#Trump - #OnTyranny #Synder

#Tester and #Brown are important to #SenateMajority but neither state (Montana, Ohio) will change #ElectoralCollege 'totals' - outcomes already determined.  Did Schumer give them more money? #Biden

Sunday, July 14, 2024

Jounalism 's Role - Don't do ... 'Both-sides-ism is suicide for democracy'

 

Yale History Professor Timothy Snyder discusses Donald Trump's repeated use of violent and dystopic rhetoric and what can be done by citizens push back against it.

Starving the Watchdog - Hidden Brain - NPR - Dec. 2018




Our individual answer ... act, take an action, e.g., write to the newspaper editor.

#Jounalism 's Role - Don't do ...  'Both-sides-ism is #suicide for #democracy ' 

Putin and Trump - Democracy and Rule of Law

So many places to begin ...

 






The bottom line is 'Putin has taken advantage of failures".


THAT LINE FROM THE 1967 Classic Film - "Cool Hand Luke".

"What we have here, is a failure to communicate."

 

... or perhaps a failure to understand that our divisions have the same root cause.


Wikipedia --

Timothy David Snyder (born August 18, 1969) is an American historian specializing in the history of Central and Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union, and the Holocaust. He is the Richard C. Levin Professor of History at Yale University and a permanent fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna.[2][3]

He has written several books, including Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and StalinOn Tyranny: Twenty Lessons from the Twentieth CenturyThe Road to Unfreedom, and Our Malady. Several of them have been described as best-sellers.[4][5]

Snyder serves on the Committee on Conscience of the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. He is also a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.


#Putin and #Trump - #Democracy and #RuleOfLaw 


Saturday, July 13, 2024

Lawful Deposition - Trump mistakes E. Jean Carroll for ex-wife Marla Maples - YouTube

 

8/11/2024 - Goes along with being in "helicopter scary moment" with "Willie Brown" who says he has never been in a helicopter with Donald Trump!

Trump said he ‘went down’ in helicopter ‘emergency landing’ with former San Francisco mayor, who says it never happened By Rashard Rose, CNN 3 minute read Updated 11:19 PM EDT, Fri August 9, 2024

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Seriously ... you think the woman you "raped" given a photograph is your ex-wife????


Trump Serious Cognitive Problem - how long did he stare?

MARLA MAPLES who?



Lawful Deposition - #Trump mistakes E. Jean #Carroll for ex-wife Marla #Maples - YouTube & Helicopters

Lawful Deposition - #Trump mistakes E. Jean #Carroll for ex-wife Marla #Maples - YouTube #Morality & #Helicopers


Friday, July 12, 2024

@WagnerTonight 'Weak' Story Setup: Michelle Goldberg and David Jolly 7/12/2024


Alex setup the story by "How Democrat had to win 'National Election turnout' by 5% over Republican" to win the Presidency.

She said it used to be less but now population changes have increased it to 5%?

Please explain!  I doubt it.  

It has also been said that Michigan, Wisconsin, and a few other states electoral results will determine who will become President. 


How do we get from a 'National Number like 5%' to infer state electoral results.  I suppose "Polling Data," but then how do those numbers get to the 5% number.


Please explain! I can't imagine a robust statistical model?  Please explain!


@WagnerTonight 'Weak' Story Setup: Michelle #Goldberg and David #Jolly - #Wagner #President #Biden 7/12/2024

Rep. Himes vs Truman: Approval Ratings are a Time Series - Not Predictors

 

People always pick their facts to support their argument!













Rep. #Himes vs #Truman: Approval #Ratings are a #TimeSeries #Approval #Disapproval

Rep. #Himes vs #Truman: Approval #Ratings are a #TimeSeries #Approval #Disapproval Truman Won!


The American Presidency Project - All Data


From 538 - about polling

Predicting what public opinion will be four months from now is also difficult. On one hand, that's because small events — like debates — can cause large changes in the polls. But it's also difficult because the polls themselves are noisy. There are many sources of uncertainty that all have to be combined properly, and forecasters make many informed but imperfect choices in figuring out how to do that. (This is true whether you have a mental model or a statistical model, like we do at 538.)

Tuesday, July 9, 2024

Billionaires save Social Security ... social equity for your opportunity to make billions

 


Labor Economist Says If Elon Musk Paid For Social Security On His Salary For An Entire Year, It Would Save 1/20 Of Its Deficit


In a recent interview with Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak, labor economist Teresa Ghilarducci highlighted the severe shortcomings of America’s retirement system, particularly the Social Security deficit. Ghilarducci offered a provocative yet insightful calculation: "If Elon Musk paid for Social Security just on his salary for the entire year and some of his capital gains were taxed to fund Social Security — just one person — it would save 1/20 of the deficit in Social Security."


The link has a video !


GOP Mega Donor - YASS Susquehanna Group


Yass has devised trading strategies that reduce his tax burden but push legal boundaries. He has repeatedly drawn IRS audits, yet has continued to test the limits. Susquehanna has often gone to court to fight the government, with one multiyear audit battle ending in a costly defeat. The firm has maintained in court filings that it complied with the law.

Yass’ low rate is particularly notable because Susquehanna, by its own description, specializes in short-term trading. Money made from such rapid trades is typically taxed at rates around 40%.


Ten Ways Billionaires Avoid Taxes on an Epic Scale


More #DarkMoney - Jane #Mayer : The #Koch Brothers #C-SPAN In Depth


#Billionaires save #SocialSecurity ... #socialequity for your opportunity to make billions - #Musk , #Bezos , #Yass , #Ackman ,  #Singer (Hedgefund), #Zuckerberg , etc

Wednesday, July 3, 2024

All This Yammering: Biden vs Trump - It's really about 'turnout' and 'truth'?

(I've modified the blog entry as of July 28, 2024 to reflect the change to Harris as the Democratic nominee for President ... all changes are in red.)


Trump is not a 'truthful' man.  Biden is.  And 'truth' implies 'trust' ... easy to believe!

Harris will be the next President in 2024, as easily as Biden, perhaps more so.   The reasons remain the same as for Biden compounded by her fresh perspective and renewed supporters.


Yammering defined ...

...to talk continuously for a long time in a way that is annoying to other people...


All this 'yammering' is really about 'fear' by democrats (lower case intentional) that voters won't turnout to vote for Biden and against Trump.

I've looked at a lot of 'facts' to satisfy myself that the 'democrats' will win the next 'Presidential election'.

Anything I say will be disputed by someone ... at length, no matter what.

The #pundits are paid to say 'exciting' things ... so beware, don't believe they have a 'crystal ball'.  ... limited bandwidth to deal with #groupthink and #shinyObjects !


The 'Polls' are the most problematic about how confidence may wax and wane.  Her performance will jump out but still be an underestimate of overall democratic performance.  Pollsters 'sampling methods' are seldom deeply analyzed nor changed when circumstances dictate they should be changed.  Harris in the mix not only confounds Trump it confounds 'pollsters'.


WATCH THIS SPACE ... I'll gradually present my 'evolving beliefs/thoughts' that I think are relevant:


  • Harvard Youth Poll - Spring 2024
  • 7/2-7/6 national voter study on the 2024 us presidential election opens pdf in new window 
  • Presidential Lines of Succession
  • Who is third on the list of Succession?
  • Has Trump seen a 'large' bump since the debate?
  • Shall we believe POLLS tell the future.  Great Britain?  France?  The U.S.?
  • Why does Nikki Haley get 20% of GOP primary vote?
  • Dobb's Happened .... remember ROE V WADE is gone
  • Women's March - January 2017
  • Trump - Convicted Felon ... rapist ... ***** Grabber
  • Trump - Project2025


What do you think?


All This Yammering: #Biden vs #Trump - It's really about ' #turnout ' and ' #truth '?

#Women'sMarch on Washington On January 21, #2017

#Dobb's Happened .... remember ROE V WADE is gone


Why didn't #Trump see a 10% to #20% #debate bump?


Shall we believe #POLLS tell the future.  #GreatBritain?  #France?  The U.S.?

Why does Nikki Haley get 20% of GOP primary vote?


With all respect to Liz Cheney this begins to seem like a previous times ' #AnonymousLeak ', of Dick  #Cheney staff leak to the #NYTimes who then as VP increduously says look what the NY Times is reporting. #Pundits stop generalizing quoting #offtherecord

#Pundits stop generalizing and quoting #offtherecord operatives!  


7/2-7/6 #national #voter study on the 2024 us #presidential election Politico.com - Amanti -Bendixen












Monday, July 1, 2024

Now that Biden has an 'Imperial Presidency" what can he do?

Share information ... 

Biden can affect Justice Department rules ... about trials before elections ... about providing factual information excluded from evidence ... giving it to various Congressional bodies - or putting it into public domain.


The rules can be tailored as an Official Act !


Now that #Biden has an ' #ImperialPresidency" what can he do?

Friday, June 28, 2024

The Debate That Wasn't? [on Thursday 6/27/24]

Do you think votes changed last night?  No.

Mine did not. 

I want to vote for a President who tells me the truth.


It was not a debate ... it was at best a 'poor' example of journalism.  I did not hear the 'truth' nor did I hear an effective defense of the 'facts'.

What am I going to do?  I will make the biggest campaign contribution I can.  I am collectively supporting a set of ideas embodied by: 


The quotation "all men are created equal" is found in the United States Declaration of Independence. The final form of the sentence was stylized by Benjamin Franklin, and penned by Thomas Jefferson during the beginning of the Revolutionary War in 1776.[1] It reads:

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness."

The phrase echoes the words of John Locke in his second treatise on government, and other authors as early as the 13th century. Jefferson applied the concept in his original draft of the declaration.[2][3] It was thereafter quoted and incorporated into speeches by a wide array of substantial figures in American political and social life in the United States. It has been called an "immortal declaration", and "perhaps [the] single phrase" of the American Revolutionary period with the greatest "continuing importance."[4][5]

                    ... From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia 


One of these men stands for these ideas.  It is obvious which one.


We are told that the only poll that is correct is the voting poll :). How would you figure out why they are wrong when done months before the vote... objective demographics of those in the poll!? I can imagine how this would be done ... I don't see it? to @MornningJoe

Polls get the turnout level wrong and they get they the turnout population wrong.

Professor Lichttman on CNN


Do you think votes changed last night?  No.  Mine did not. 

I want  to vote for a President who tells me the truth.


I can't possibly fact check Trump in two minutes... he is so pumped up telling lies so fast :)


WI 1848 Forward: The #Debate That Wasn't? [on Thursday 6/27/24] - #Polls get the turnout level wrong and they get they the turnout population wrong. Professor #Lichtman alternative!


Friday, June 7, 2024

NOT ' Our Better Angels ' : Wetback Nation

 

The Largest Mass Deportation in American History: As many as 1.3 million people may have been swept up in the Eisenhower-era campaign called 'Operation Wetback.'

ERIN BLAKEMORE  UPDATED: 


Wikipedia: Operation Wetback


Do you remember? Did you know?  Not that long after interment of Americans of Japanese ethnicity.

Let's not repeat this mistake ... let's find our 'better angels'.




NOT ' Our Better Angels ' : ' #Wetback Nation ' #Deportation #Project2025

#MAGA land? - NOT ' Our Better Angels ' : ' Wetback Nation '

Tuesday, April 2, 2024

WI Senate District 30 - 2021 vs 2024 -- Gerrymander 2021 for sure, Packing, Cracking - Green Bay



Click the link to see dynamic versions






 

#WI #SenateDistrict30 - 2021 vs #2024 -- #Gerrymander 2021 for sure, #Packing, #Cracking

-- #GreenBay

https://wi1848forward.magmaman.xyz/RMD_WI_Sen_30_2021vs2024.html


Saturday, March 23, 2024

How Trump wins in 2024 !!??? ... how to innoculate against it!

 Riot!  I don't think so!

Corrupt all the local election officials!  I don't think so ... maybe some on their own!


The ANSWER!  Prevent States from certifying their election results ... YES!

It may only take a few!


What can we do about it?  Public Service/Education Announcements ... hit the airwaves and newspapers and the internet with 'real live election officials' showing us the process from the inside out.  Publically identifying all individuals who serve in any kind of 'certifying board'.  

Those boards or officials who are not willing to support PSAs or be identified should be suspect.

It is really important, even given possible harassment, that the 'officials' be known so they can be supported and kept free of intimidation.

Thousands of localities and hundreds of times before November.


How #Trump #wins in #2024 !!??? ... how to inoculate against it! Corrupt local #Certification process on up!

How #Trump #wins in #2024 !!??? ... how to inoculate against it! Corrupt local #Certification process on up!
Require audit of local PSA/demonstration of process by law pre-election.

Sunday, March 17, 2024

Trump and 'Bibi' Netanyahu - How would they handle 'Gaza' ? Humanitarian Miracle?

 

Is the past prelude?  Would we have a humanitarian miracle?


How to lobby without money seems to always require 'protest'?  Maybe one should consider:


    'Change your policy and we will bring you two more voters supporting you!'


Diplomatic maxims -

    Don't cut your nose off to spite your face!

            

    Even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then!


#Trump and ' #Bibi ' #Netanyahu - How would they handle ' #Gaza ' ? #HumanitarianMiracle ?

#Trump and ' #Bibi ' #Netanyahu - How would they handle ' #Gaza ' ? #HumanitarianMiracle ? Shoot first, excuses later?