Why Pundits And Politicians Hate NYT Election Forecaster Nate Silver
It comes down to arithmetic (a confusing sub-element of mathematics?)!
From the article -
The New York Times election oracle, Nate Silver, who in his fivethirtyeight blog correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in the last election, predicts that Obama could breeze to victory with a 75 percent chance of winning. Despite his relatively simple method of averaging polls to predict winners, he’s become a punching bag for pundits and politicians who label him a fradulent snakeoil salesman. ....
And an example of rants ...
“Both sides understand that it is close, and it could go either way. And anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now is such an ideologue, they should be kept away from typewriters, computers, laptops and microphones for the next 10 days, because they’re jokes,” said MSNBC’s hotheaded morning political pundit, Joe Scarborough, in a pointed rant against the humble New York Times statistician.
But the part I like most is a quoted tweet ...
WI 1848 Forward: TechCrunch : Why Pundits And Politicians Hate #NYT #Election Forecaster Nate Silver ( #538 ) : #ObamaA subtext of journalistic resentment of Silver is that if punditry is based in numbers, journalists who don't know numbers are less valuable
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